10
Disclosed trades
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The Hill Wire
Michael Guest
RepublicanRepresentative · MS-3
Committees
Ethics
100% via spouse / family
$80K
Volume · disclosed
1
Buys
7
Sells
41d
Median lag
70%
On time
+42.0%
Copy Score
Copy Score
if you’d bought every disclosed purchase at the disclosure-day close
Mean copy return · per disclosed buy
+42.0%
+25.9pp over the matched S&P (+16.1%) · 1 priced buy · small sample
Recent buys
Buys-only (copying a member = buying what they bought), disclosure→now vs the S&P over the same window. No claimed personal P&L. See the methodology.
Where the money went
top tickers by disclosed dollar volume
Disclosure habits
against the 45-day STOCK Act deadline
Median filing lag41 days
Filings on the clock10
Filed under spouse / family100%
On time (≤45d)70%
Trade cadence
last 6 months - buys above the line, sells below; dot size ≈ amount
Buy Sell6 months ago → today
Trade history
every disclosed trade, newest first
| Date | Ticker | Type | Owner | Instrument | Amount | Return | Lag | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2026 | XOM | SELL | Spouse | Stock | $1,001 - $15,000 | +14.3% | 43d | filing ↗ |
| Jul 2, 2026 | XOM | SELL | Spouse | Stock | $1,001 - $15,000 | +14.3% | 43d | filing ↗ |
| Dec 16, 2025 | CVX | SELL | Spouse | Stock | $1,001 - $15,000 | +37.5% | 241d | filing ↗ |
| Dec 16, 2025 | ABNB | SELL | Spouse | Stock | $1,001 - $15,000 | +43.5% | 241d | filing ↗ |
| Dec 16, 2025 | ELF | SELL | Spouse |
Could you have ridden along?
Coming online12-month cumulative: the member, a copy-at-disclosure line, and the S&P.
The honest three, plotted. Turns on once we retain a per-member daily return series.
Needs · Portfolio return series
Committee overlap
Coming onlineHow much of their book sits in sectors their committees oversee.
Perfectly legal - exactly what the tape is for. Lights up with the committee→sector→ticker join.
Needs · Sector jurisdiction map